HON. RON PAUL OF TEXAS

Before the U.S. House of Representatives

February 15, 2006

 

The End of Dollar Hegemony

A hundred years ago it was called "dollar diplomacy." After World War II, and especially after the fall of the Soviet Union in 1989, that
policy evolved into "dollar hegemony." But after all these many years of great success, our dollar dominance is coming to an end.

It has been said, rightly, that he who holds the gold makes the rules. In earlier times it was readily accepted that fair and honest trade
required an exchange for something of real value.

First it was simply barter of goods. Then it was discovered that gold held a universal attraction, and was a convenient substitute for more
cumbersome barter transactions. Not only did gold facilitate exchange of goods and services, it served as a store of value for those who
wanted to save for a rainy day.

 

Though money developed naturally in the marketplace, as governments grew in power they assumed monopoly control over money.
Sometimes governments succeeded in guaranteeing the quality and purity of gold, but in time governments learned to outspend their
revenues. New or higher taxes always incurred the disapproval of the people, so it wasn't long before Kings and Caesars learned how to
inflate their currencies by reducing the amount of gold in each coin-- always hoping their subjects wouldn't discover the fraud. But the
people always did, and they strenuously objected.

This helped pressure leaders to seek more gold by conquering other nations. The people became accustomed to living beyond their means,
and enjoyed the circuses and bread. Financing extravagances by conquering foreign lands seemed a logical alternative to working harder
and producing more. Besides, conquering nations not only brought home gold, they brought home slaves as well. Taxing the people in
conquered territories also provided an incentive to build empires. This system of government worked well for a while, but the moral
decline of the people led to an unwillingness to produce for themselves. There was a limit to the number of countries that could be sacked
for their wealth, and this always brought empires to an end. When gold no longer could be obtained, their military might crumbled. In
those days those who held the gold truly wrote the rules and lived well.

That general rule has held fast throughout the ages. When gold was used, and the rules protected honest commerce, productive nations
thrived. Whenever wealthy nations-- those with powerful armies and gold-- strived only for empire and easy fortunes to support welfare at
home, those nations failed.

 

Today the principles are the same, but the process is quite different. Gold no longer is the currency of the realm; paper is. The truth now
is: "He who prints the money makes the rules"-- at least for the time being. Although gold is not used, the goals are the same: compel
foreign countries to produce and subsidize the country with military superiority and control over the monetary printing presses.

Since printing paper money is nothing short of counterfeiting, the issuer of the international currency must always be the country with
the military might to guarantee control over the system. This magnificent scheme seems the perfect system for obtaining perpetual wealth
for the country that issues the de facto world currency. The one problem, however, is that such a system destroys the character of the
counterfeiting nation's people-- just as was the case when gold was the currency and it was obtained by conquering other nations. And this
destroys the incentive to save and produce, while encouraging debt and runaway welfare.

The pressure at home to inflate the currency comes from the corporate welfare recipients, as well as those who demand handouts as
compensation for their needs and perceived injuries by others. In both cases personal responsibility for one's actions is rejected.

When paper money is rejected, or when gold runs out, wealth and political stability are lost. The country then must go from living beyond
its means to living beneath its means, until the economic and political systems adjust to the new rules-- rules no longer written by those
who ran the now defunct printing press.

 

"Dollar Diplomacy," a policy instituted by William Howard Taft and his Secretary of State Philander C. Knox, was designed to enhance
U.S. commercial investments in Latin America and the Far East. McKinley concocted a war against Spain in 1898, and (Teddy) Roosevelt's
corollary to the Monroe Doctrine preceded Taft's aggressive approach to using the U.S. dollar and diplomatic influence to secure U.S.
investments abroad. This earned the popular title of "Dollar Diplomacy."

The significance of Roosevelt's change was that our intervention now could be justified by the mere "appearance" that a country of
interest to us was politically or fiscally vulnerable to European control. Not only did we claim a right, but even an official U.S. government
"obligation" to protect our commercial interests from Europeans.

This new policy came on the heels of the "gunboat" diplomacy of the late 19th century, and it meant we could buy influence before
resorting to the threat of force. By the time the "dollar diplomacy" of William Howard Taft was clearly articulated, the seeds of American
empire were planted. And they were destined to grow in the fertile political soil of a country that lost its love and respect for the republic
bequeathed to us by the authors of the Constitution. And indeed they did. It wasn't too long before dollar "diplomacy" became dollar
"hegemony" in the second half of the 20th century.

This transition only could have occurred with a dramatic change in monetary policy and the nature of the dollar itself. Congress created
the Federal Reserve System in 1913. Between then and 1971

the principle of sound money was systematically undermined. Between 1913 and 1971, the Federal Reserve found it much easier to expand
the money supply at will for financing war or manipulating the economy with little resistance from Congress-- while benefiting the special
interests that influence government.

Dollar dominance got a huge boost after World War II. We were spared the destruction that so many other nations suffered, and our coffers
were filled with the world's gold. But the world chose not to return to the discipline of the gold standard, and the politicians applauded.

Printing money to pay the bills was a lot more popular than taxing or restraining unnecessary spending. In spite of the short-term benefits,
imbalances were institutionalized for decades to come.

The 1944 Bretton Woods agreement solidified the dollar as the preeminent world reserve currency, replacing the British pound. Due to our
political and military muscle, and because we had a huge amount of physical gold, the world readily accepted our dollar (defined as 1/35th
of an ounce of gold) as the world's reserve currency. The dollar was said to be "as good as gold," and convertible to all foreign central
banks at that rate. For American citizens, however, it remained illegal to own. This was a gold-exchange standard that from inception was
doomed to fail.

 

The U.S. did exactly what many predicted she would do. She printed more dollars for which there was no gold backing. But the world was
content to accept those dollars for more than 25 years with little question-- until the French and others in the late 1960s demanded we
fulfill our promise to pay one ounce of gold for each $35 they delivered to the U.S. Treasury. This resulted in a huge gold drain that
brought an end to a very poorly devised pseudo-gold standard.

It all ended on August 15, 1971, when Nixon closed the gold window and refused to pay out any of our remaining 280 million ounces of
gold. In essence, we declared our insolvency and everyone recognized some other monetary system had to be devised in order to bring
stability to the markets.

Amazingly, a new system was devised which allowed the U.S. to operate the printing presses for the world reserve currency with no
restraints placed on it-- not even a pretense of gold convertibility, none whatsoever! Though the new policy was even more deeply flawed, it
nevertheless opened the door for dollar hegemony to spread.

Realizing the world was embarking on something new and mind boggling, elite money managers, with especially strong support from U.S.
authorities, struck an agreement with OPEC to price oil in U.S. dollars exclusively for all worldwide transactions. This gave the dollar a
special place among world currencies and in essence "backed" the dollar with oil. In return, the U.S. promised to protect the various
oil-rich kingdoms in the Persian Gulf against threat of invasion or domestic coup. This arrangement helped ignite the radical Islamic
movement among those who resented our influence in the region. The arrangement gave the dollar artificial strength, with tremendous
financial benefits for the United States. It allowed us to export our monetary inflation by buying oil and other goods at a great discount as
dollar influence flourished.

 

This post-Bretton Woods system was much more fragile than the system that existed between 1945 and 1971. Though the dollar/oil
arrangement was helpful, it was not nearly as stable as the pseudo gold standard under Bretton Woods. It certainly was less stable than the
gold standard of the late 19th century.

During the 1970s the dollar nearly collapsed, as oil prices surged and gold skyrocketed to $800 an ounce. By 1979 interest rates of 21%
were required to rescue the system. The pressure on the dollar in the 1970s, in spite of the benefits accrued to it, reflected reckless budget
deficits and monetary inflation during the 1960s. The markets were not fooled by LBJ's claim that we could afford both "guns and butter."

Once again the dollar was rescued, and this ushered in the age of true dollar hegemony lasting from the early 1980s to the present. With
tremendous cooperation coming from the central banks and international commercial banks, the dollar was accepted as if it were gold.

Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, on several occasions before the House Banking Committee, answered my challenges to him about his
previously held favorable views on gold by claiming that he and other central bankers had gotten paper money-- i.e. the dollar system-- to
respond as if it were gold. Each time I strongly disagreed, and pointed out that if they had achieved such a feat they would have defied
centuries of economic history regarding the need for money to be something of real value. He smugly and confidently concurred with this.

In recent years central banks and various financial institutions, all with vested interests in maintaining a workable fiat dollar standard,
were not secretive about selling and loaning large amounts of gold to the market even while decreasing gold prices raised serious
questions about the wisdom of such a policy. They never admitted to gold price fixing, but the evidence is abundant that they believed if the
gold price fell it would convey a sense of confidence to the market, confidence that they indeed had achieved amazing success in turning
paper into gold.

 

Increasing gold prices historically are viewed as an indicator of distrust in paper currency. This recent effort was not a whole lot different
than the U.S. Treasury selling gold at $35 an ounce in the 1960s, in an attempt to convince the world the dollar was sound and as good as
gold. Even during the Depression, one of Roosevelt's first acts was to remove free market gold pricing as an indication of a flawed monetary
system by making it illegal for American citizens to own gold. Economic law eventually limited that effort, as it did in the early 1970s
when our Treasury and the IMF tried to fix the price of gold by dumping tons into the market to dampen the enthusiasm of those seeking a
safe haven for a falling dollar after gold ownership was re-legalized.

Once again the effort between 1980 and 2000 to fool the market as to the true value of the dollar proved unsuccessful. In the past 5 years
the dollar has been devalued in terms of gold by more than 50%. You just can't fool all the people all the time, even with the power of the
mighty printing press and money creating system of the Federal Reserve.

Even with all the shortcomings of the fiat monetary system, dollar influence thrived. The results seemed beneficial, but gross distortions
built into the system remained. And true to form, Washington politicians are only too anxious to solve the problems cropping up with
window dressing, while failing to understand and deal with the underlying flawed policy.

Protectionism, fixing exchange rates, punitive tariffs, politically motivated sanctions, corporate subsidies, international trade
management, price controls, interest rate and wage controls, super-nationalist sentiments, threats of force, and even war are resorted to-all
to solve the problems artificially created by deeply flawed monetary and economic systems.

In the short run, the issuer of a fiat reserve currency can accrue great economic benefits. In the long run, it poses a threat to the country
issuing the world currency. In this case that's the United States. As long as foreign countries take our dollars in return for real goods, we
come out ahead. This is a benefit many in Congress fail to recognize, as they bash China for maintaining a positive trade balance with us.

But this leads to a loss of manufacturing jobs to overseas markets, as we become more dependent on others and less self-sufficient. Foreign
countries accumulate our dollars due to their high savings rates, and graciously loan them back to us at low interest rates to finance our
excessive consumption.

 

It sounds like a great deal for everyone, except the time will come when our dollars-- due to their depreciation-- will be received less
enthusiastically or even be rejected by foreign countries. That could create a whole new ballgame and force us to pay a price for living
beyond our means and our production. The shift in sentiment regarding the dollar has already started, but the worst is yet to come.

The agreement with OPEC in the 1970s to price oil in dollars has provided tremendous artificial strength to the dollar as the preeminent
reserve currency. This has created a universal demand for the dollar, and soaks up the huge number of new dollars generated each year.
Last year alone M3 increased over $700 billion.

The artificial demand for our dollar, along with our military might, places us in the unique position to "rule" the world without productive
work or savings, and without limits on consumer spending or deficits. The problem is, it can't last.Price inflation is raising its ugly head,
and the NASDAQ bubble-- generated by easy money-- has burst. The housing bubble likewise created is deflating. Gold prices have
doubled, and federal spending is out of sight with zero political will to rein it in. The trade deficit last year was over $728 billion. A $2
trillion war is raging, and plans are being laid to expand the war into Iran and possibly Syria. The only restraining force will be the world's
rejection of the dollar. It's bound to come and create conditions worse than 1979-1980, which required 21% interest rates to correct. But
everything possible will be done to protect the dollar in the meantime. We have a shared interest with those who hold our dollars to keep
the whole charade going.

 

Greenspan, in his first speech after leaving the Fed, said that gold prices were up because of concern about terrorism, and not because of
monetary concerns or because he created too many dollars during his tenure. Gold has to be discredited and the dollar propped up. Even
when the dollar comes under serious attack by market forces, the central banks and the IMF surely will do everything conceivable to soak
up the dollars in hope of restoring stability. Eventually they will fail.

Most importantly, the dollar/oil relationship has to be maintained to keep the dollar as a preeminent currency. Any attack on this
relationship will be forcefully challenged-as it already has been.

In November 2000 Saddam Hussein demanded Euros for his oil.

His arrogance was a threat to the dollar; his lack of any military might was
never a threat. At the first cabinet meeting with the new administration in 2001, as reported by Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill, the
major topic was how we would get rid of Saddam Hussein-- though there was no evidence whatsoever he posed a threat to us. This deep
concern for Saddam Hussein surprised and shocked O'Neill.

It now is common knowledge that the immediate reaction of the administration after 9/11 revolved around how they could connect Saddam
Hussein to the attacks, to justify an invasion and overthrow of his government. Even with no evidence of any connection to 9/11, or evidence
of weapons of mass destruction, public and congressional support was generated through distortions and flat out misrepresentation of the
facts to justify overthrowing Saddam Hussein.

 

There was no public talk of removing Saddam Hussein because of his attack on the integrity of the dollar as a reserve currency by selling
oil in Euros. Many believe this was the real reason for our obsession with Iraq.

I doubt it was the only reason, but it may well have played a significant role in our motivation to wage war. Within a very short period after
the military victory, all Iraqi oil sales were carried out in dollars. The Euro was abandoned.

In 2001, Venezuela's ambassador to Russia spoke of Venezuela switching to the Euro for all their oil sales. Within a year there was a coup
attempt against Chavez, reportedly with assistance from our CIA.

 

After these attempts to nudge the Euro toward replacing the dollar as the world's reserve currency were met with resistance, the sharp fall
of the dollar against the Euro was reversed. These events may well have played a significant role in maintaining dollar dominance.

It's become clear the U.S. administration was sympathetic to those who plotted the overthrow of Chavez, and was embarrassed by its
failure. The fact that Chavez was democratically elected had little influence on which side we supported.

Now, a new attempt is being made against the petrodollar system. Iran, another member of the "axis of evil," has announced her plans to
initiate an oil bourse in March of this year. Guess what, the oil sales will be priced Euros, not dollars.

Most Americans forget how our policies have systematically and needlessly antagonized the Iranians over the years. In 1953 the CIA
helped overthrow a democratically elected president, Mohammed Mossadeqh, and install the authoritarian Shah, who was friendly to the
U.S. The Iranians were still fuming over this when the hostages were seized in 1979.

Our alliance with Saddam Hussein in his invasion of Iran in the early 1980s did not help matters, and obviously did not do much for our
relationship with Saddam Hussein. The administration announcement in 2001 that Iran was part of the axis of evil didn't do much to
improve the diplomatic relationship between our two countries.

 

Recent threats over nuclear power, while ignoring the fact that they are surrounded by countries with nuclear weapons, doesn't seem to
register with those who continue to provoke Iran. With what most Muslims perceive as our war against Islam, and this recent history,
there's little wonder why Iran might choose to harm America by undermining the dollar. Iran, like Iraq, has zero capability to attack us.
But that didn't stop us from turning Saddam Hussein into a modern day Hitler ready to take over the world. Now Iran, especially since
she's made plans for pricing oil in Euros, has been on the receiving end of a propaganda war not unlike that waged against Iraq before our
invasion.

 

It's not likely that maintaining dollar supremacy was the only motivating factor for the war against Iraq, nor for agitating against Iran.
Though the real reasons for going to war are complex, we now know the reasons given before the war started, like the presence of weapons
of mass destruction and Saddam Hussein's connection to 9/11, were false. The dollar's importance is obvious, but this does not diminish the
influence of the distinct plans laid out years ago by the neo-conservatives to remake the Middle East. Israel's influence, as well as that of
the Christian Zionists, likewise played a role in prosecuting this war. Protecting "our" oil supplies has influenced our Middle East policy
for decades.

But the truth is that paying the bills for this aggressive intervention is impossible the old fashioned way, with more taxes, more savings,
and more production by the American people. Much of the expense of the Persian Gulf War in 1991 was shouldered by many of our willing
allies. That's not so today. Now, more than ever, the dollar hegemony-- it's dominance as the world reserve currency-- is required to
finance our huge war expenditures.

 

This $2 trillion never-ending war must be paid for, one way or another. Dollar hegemony provides the vehicle to do just that.For the most
part the true victims aren't aware of how they pay the bills.

The license to create money out of thin air allows the bills to be paid through price inflation. American citizens, as well as average citizens
of Japan, China, and other countries suffer from price inflation, which represents the "tax" that pays the bills for our military adventures.
That is until the fraud is discovered, and the foreign producers decide not to take dollars nor hold them very long in payment for their
goods. Everything possible is done to prevent the fraud of the monetary system from being exposed to the masses who suffer from it. If oil
markets replace dollars with Euros, it would in time curtail our ability to continue to print, without restraint, the world's reserve currency.

It is an unbelievable benefit to us to import valuable goods and export depreciating dollars. The exporting countries have become addicted
to our purchases for their economic growth. This dependency makes them allies in continuing the fraud, and their participation keeps the
dollar's value artificially high. If this system were workable long term, American citizens would never have to work again. We too could
enjoy "bread and circuses" just as the Romans did, but their gold finally ran out and the inability of Rome to continue to plunder
conquered nations brought an end to her empire.

 

The same thing will happen to us if we don't change our ways. Though we don't occupy foreign countries to directly plunder, we
nevertheless have spread our troops across 130 nations of the world. Our intense effort to spread our power in the oil-rich Middle East is
not a coincidence. But unlike the old days, we don't declare direct ownership of the natural resources-- we just insist that we can buy what
we want and pay for it with our paper money. Any country that challenges our authority does so at great risk.

Once again Congress has bought into the war propaganda against Iran, just as it did against Iraq. Arguments are now made for attacking
Iran economically, and militarily if necessary. These arguments are all based on the same false reasons given for the ill-fated and costly
occupation of Iraq.

 

Our whole economic system depends on continuing the current monetary arrangement, which means recycling the dollar is crucial.
Currently, we borrow over $700 billion every year from our gracious benefactors, who work hard and take our paper for their goods. Then
we borrow all the money we need to secure the empire (DOD budget $450 billion) plus more. The military might we enjoy becomes the
"backing" of our currency. There are no other countries that can challenge our military superiority, and therefore they have little choice
but to accept the dollars we declare are today's "gold."

This is why countries that challenge the system-- like Iraq, Iran and Venezuela-- become targets of our plans for regime change.Ironically,
dollar superiority depends on our strong military, and our strong military depends on the dollar. As long as foreign recipients take our
dollars for real goods and are willing to finance our extravagant consumption and militarism, the status quo will continue regardless of
how huge our foreign debt and current account deficit become.

 

But real threats come from our political adversaries who are incapable of confronting us militarily, yet are not bashful about confronting
us economically. That's why we see the new challenge from Iran being taken so seriously. The urgent arguments about Iran posing a
military threat to the security of the United States are no more plausible than the false charges levied against Iraq. Yet there is no effort to
resist this march to confrontation by those who grandstand for political reasons against the Iraq war.

It seems that the people and Congress are easily persuaded by the jingoism of the preemptive war promoters. It's only after the cost in
human life and dollars are tallied up that the people object to unwise militarism.

The strange thing is that the failure in Iraq is now apparent to a large majority of American people, yet they and Congress are acquiescing
to the call for a needless and dangerous confrontation with Iran.

But then again, our failure to find Osama bin Laden and destroy his network did not dissuade us from taking on the Iraqis in a war totally
unrelated to 9/11.

 

Concern for pricing oil only in dollars helps explain our willingness to drop everything and teach Saddam Hussein a lesson for his
defiance in demanding Euros for oil instead of dollars. That was his only blunder or he would still be ruling Iraq today. If Saddam had

just kept accepting dollars for his oil there is no doubt that the USA would have left him alone. When we took Iraq by force the first official

act was to start trading oil using only dollars once again which they indeed now do as I give this speech.

The private corporation for profit called the Federal Reserve Bank needed Saddam removed from power so it could keep the American

people paying over one trillion dollars a year to a national debit that does not need to exist in the first place. The federal government can

print interest free money by simply using the US treasury to print it debit free yet this fraudulent corporation called the Federal Reserve Bank continues

to extort over one trillion dollars a year in interest from the purses and wallets of the American people. Saddum by demanding euros for his oil was major

threat to the stability of the Federal Reserve Banks junk money and their entire scam. When the Federal Reserve Bank is finally abolished and the U.S.

treasury once again takes over the job of printing debit free money we will look back and see the Federal Reserve Bank as the crime of the century.

$54,000,000,000,000 in tax payer dollars stolen by a private bank incorporated in Delaware, charging interest on money it pulls out of thin air.

The network of corruption needed to keep Federal Reserve Bank alive and well at this late date is simply mind boggling.

 

And once again there's this urgent call for sanctions and threats of force against Iran at the precise time Iran is opening a new oil
exchange with all transactions in Euros.

Using force to compel people to accept money without real value can only work in the short run. It ultimately leads to economic dislocation,
both domestic and international, and always ends with a price to be paid.

The economic law that honest exchange demands only things of real value as currency cannot be repealed. The chaos that one day will
ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is
approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or Euros. The sooner the better.

 

MORE - The Euro: Fiat Reserve Dollar # 2