USAF veteran, Douglas Herman correctly predicted how the
attack
on Iraq would play out blow-by-blow in his column: "Shock
& Awe"
Here is his call on how the "IRAN WAR" will go
down -
The war began as planned. The Israeli pilots took off well
before dawn and streaked across Lebanon and northern Iraq, high
above Kirkuk. Flying US-made F-15 and F-16s, the Israelis separated
over the mountains of western Iran, the pilots gesturing a last
minute show of confidence in their mission, maintaining radio
silence.
Just before the sun rose over Tehran, moments before the Muslim
call to prayer, the missiles struck their targets. While US Air
Force AWACS planes circled overhead--listening, watching, recording--heavy
US bombers followed minutes later. Bunker-busters and mini-nukes
fell on dozens of targets while Iranian anti-aircraft missiles
sped skyward.
The ironically named Bushehr nuclear power plant crumbled to
dust. Russian technicians and foreign nationals scurried for
safety. Most did not make it.
Targets in Saghand and Yazd, all of them carefully chosen many
months before by Pentagon planners, were destroyed. The uranium
enrichment facility in Natanz; a heavy water plant and radioisotope
facility in Arak; the Ardekan Nuclear Fuel Unit; the Uranium
Conversion Facility and Nuclear Technology Center in Isfahan;
were struck simultaneously by USAF and Israeli bomber groups.
The Tehran Nuclear Research Center, the Tehran Molybdenum, Iodine
and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility, the Tehran Jabr Ibn
Hayan Multipurpose Laboratories, the Kalaye Electric Company
in the Tehran suburbs were destroyed.
Iranian fighter jets rose in scattered groups. At least those
Iranian fighter planes that had not been destroyed on the ground
by swift and systematic air strikes from US and Israeli missiles.
A few Iranian fighters even launched missiles, downing the occasional
attacker, but American top guns quickly prevailed in the ensuing
dogfights.
The Iranian air force, like the Iranian navy, never really knew
what hit them. Like the slumbering US sailors at Pearl Harbor,
the pre-dawn, pre-emptive attack wiped out fully half the Iranian
defense forces in a matter of hours.
By mid-morning, the second and third wave of US/Israeli raiders
screamed over the secondary targets. The only problem now, the
surprising effectiveness of the Iranian missile defenses. The
element of surprise lost, US and Israeli warplanes began to fall
from the skies in considerable numbers to anti-aircraft fire.
At 7:35 AM, Tehran time, the first Iranian anti-ship missile
destroyed a Panamanian oil tanker, departing from Kuwait and
bound for Houston. Launched from an Iranian fighter plane, the
Exocet split the ship in half and set the ship ablaze in the
Strait of Hormuz. A second and third tanker followed, black smoke
billowing from the broken ships before they blew up and sank.
By 8:15 AM, all ship traffic on the Persian Gulf had ceased.
US Navy ships, ordered earlier into the relative safety of the
Indian Ocean, south of their base in Bahrain, launched counter
strikes. Waves of US fighter planes circled the burning wrecks
in the bottleneck of Hormuz but the Iranian fighters had fled.
At 9 AM, Eastern Standard Time, many hours into the war, CNN
reported a squadron of suicide Iranian fighter jets attacking
the US Navy fleet south of Bahrain. Embedded reporters aboard
the ships--sending live feeds directly to a rapt audience of
Americans just awakening--reported all of the Iranian jets destroyed,
but not before the enemy planes launched dozens of Exocet and
Sunburn anti-ship missiles. A US aircraft carrier, cruiser and
two destroyers suffered direct hits. The cruiser blew up and
sank, killing 600 men. The aircraft carrier sank an hour later.
By mid-morning, every military base in Iran was partially or
wholly destroyed. Sirens blared and fires blazed from hundreds
of fires. Explosions rocked Tehran and the electrical power failed.
The Al Jazeerah news station in Tehran took a direct hit from
a satellite bomb, leveling the entire block.
At 9:15 AM, Baghdad time, the first Iranian missile struck the
Green Zone. For the next thirty minutes a torrent of missiles
landed on GPS coordinates carefully selected by Shiite militiamen
with cell phones positioned outside the Green Zone and other
permanent US bases. Although US and Israeli bomber pilots had
destroyed 90% of the Iranian missiles, enough Shahabs remained
to fully destroy the Green Zone, the Baghdad airport, and a US
Marine base. Thousands of unsuspecting US soldiers died in the
early morning barrage. Not surprisingly, CNN and Fox withheld
the great number of casualties from American viewers.
By 9:30 AM, gas stations on the US east coast began to raise
their prices. Slowly at first and then altogether in a panic,
the prices rose. $6 a gallon, and then $6 and then $8, the prices
skyrocketed. Worried motorists, rushing from work, roared into
the nearest gas station, radios blaring the latest reports of
the pre-emptive attack on Iran. While fistfights broke out in
gas stations everywhere, the third Middle Eastern war had begun.
In Washington DC, the spin began minutes after the first missile
struck its intended target. The punitive strike--not really a
war said the harried White House spokesman--would further democracy
and peace in the Middle East. Media pundits mostly followed the
party line. By ridding Iran of weapons of mass destruction, Donald
Rumsfeld declared confidently on CNN, Iran might follow in the
footsteps of Iraq, and enjoy the hard won fruits of freedom.
The president scheduled a speech at 2 PM. Gas prices kept steadily
rising. China and Japan threatened to dump US dollars. Gold price
jumped sharply higher by more than $400 an ounce. The dollar
plummeted against the Euro.
CNN reported violent, anti-American protests in Paris, London,
Rome, Berlin and Dublin. Fast food franchises throughout Europe,
carrying American corporate logos, were firebombed.
A violent coup toppled the pro-American Pakistan president. On
the New York Stock Exchange, prices fell in a frenzy of trading--except
for the major petroleum producers. A single, Iranian Shahab missile
struck Tel Aviv, destroying an entire city block. Israel vowed
revenge, and threatened a nuclear strike on Tehran, before a
hastily called UN General Assembly in New York City eased tensions.
An orange alert in New York City suddenly reddened to a full-scale
terror alarm when a package detonated on a Manhattan subway.
Mayor Bloomberg declared martial law. Governor Pataki ordered
the New York National Guard fully mobilized, mobilizing what
few national guardsmen remained in the state.
President Bush looked shaken at 2 PM. The scroll below the TV
screen reported Persian Gulf nations halting production of oil
until the conflict could be resolved peacefully. Venezuelan president,
Hugo Chavez, announced a freeze in oil deliveries to the US would
begin immediately. Tony Blair offered to mediate peace negotiations,
between the US and Israel and Iran, but was resoundingly rejected.
By 6 PM, Eastern Standard Time, gas prices had stabilized at
just below $10 a gallon. A Citgo station in Texas, near Fort
Sam Houston Army base, was firebombed. No one claimed responsibility.
Terrorism was not ruled out.
At sunset, the call to prayer--in Tehran, Baghdad, Islamabad,
Ankara, Jerusalem, Jakarta, Riyadh--sounded uncannily like the
buzzing of enraged bees.
If WORLD WAR THREE ever
had a prime spot to germinate the Middle East is fertile soil
If we
are not very careful our future my look like this in the end
- WW3